Tuesday, March 6, 2012

SUPER TUESDAY UPDATES LIVE AS THEY HAPPEN - RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW!

ALL TIMES CENTRAL

11:38 PM: FOXNews just now calls Ohio for Romney. A call that is not a surprise.

11:37: It is now Wednesday on the Atlantic Seaboard, and in the final hour of Tuesday in the Central Time Zone, and two states are still yet to be decided, but we do have several takeaways from tonight:
-This race continues on with all four candidates still soldering on.
-Regardless of the outcome in Ohio, Romney continues to appear weak, and that could certainly
hurt him in the upcoming primaries and caucuses where particularly Santorum and to a lesser
extent Gingrich appeal to many.
-Regardless of his huge victory in Georgia, Gingrich had a particularly tough night. He fell to 3rd
in Tennessee and Oklahoma, states in which he thought he had a strong shot. He also barely
registered support in Mass., N.D., Idaho and Vt. In Ohio, his support rests only in the upper
teens of percent. Super Tuesday was a critical opportunity at a turning point for him, and it
did not materialize. He would seem to have a final shot next Tuesday with Ala., Miss. and Kan.,
but Santorum also looks good in those states. The Gingrich campaign is probably at life support
right now.

11:05 PM: ‎91% of precincts in at Ohio, and Romney is on top with a slim lead of approx. 6,000 votes or a single percent.

9:25 PM: Now 71% of precincts in Ohio, and it is still 38% for Santorum, Romney with 36%. Santorum wins three states on the night, Romney also three, and Gingrich takes Ga. Gingrich has really suffered a tough night though with a distant 3rd in Tennessee, a crucial state for him, and potentially 3rd in Oklahoma, another state he was counting on. He is also drawing low single-digit numbers in the caucus states of North Dakota and Idaho and not even 20% in Ohio. Paul also will probably end the night missing his likely last shot to have any state wins. Romney up strong in Idaho right now and will probably claim the state has his 4th win of the night.

9:10 PM: BREAKING: CNN calls North Dakota for Santorum!

9:04 PM: Romney projected to win 2nd in Tennessee...Gingrich will fall in 3rd here and could fall in 3rd in Oklahoma. This marks a tough night for the one-time frontrunner although he wins huge in Georgia.

9:00 PM: With 58% of precincts in on the state of Ohio, Santorum still leads Romney by a count of 38% to 36%. Tight as a tick in the bellwether Buckeye State!

8:58 PM: Now 62% of precincts in on North Dakota and still the same numbers between Santorum and Paul (39%-27%). We are getting closer to a decided result there.

8:55 PM: Tweet from political analyst Nate Silver: "Pretty sure Santorum is a slight favorite in Ohio. He's maybe ~60%-70% likely to win."

8:50 PM: With 54% of precincts in for North Dakota, Santorum holds 39% of the vote to Paul's 27%. Looking like a two-person race for the conservative state in the northern part of the Great Plains!

8:47 PM: Watching North Dakota particularly close along with Ohio. Rick leads N.D. with 40% of the vote and Romney and Paul closely battling for 2nd, both with approx. 25% of the vote each. It will likely get closer through the night.

8:30 PM: With 33% of precincts in, Santorum leads Ohio with 39% of the vote to Romney's 36%. I predict when all is said and done, Rick wins by 2% of the vote in the Buckeye State. I make that call based on everything I am seeing and hearing there.

8:24 PM: This night is going to be bigger for the Santorum camp than the media have been predicting as of late, and it will be a tough night for Newt. Looks like this goes on officially now as a two-person race.

8:22 PM: A jubilant Santorum rally in Steubenville, Ohio after huge wins in Tennessee and Oklahoma, and things looking very promising in the Buckeye State of Ohio according to some analysts. North Dakota also looks good early on with Rick currently sitting at half the vote with 6% of precincts in. Side Note: Steubenville is the native city of legendary and all-time great singer Dean Martin!

8:19 PM: LIVE ON ALL NEWS NETWORKS: Rick Santorum in a victory speech from Santorum HQ in Steubenville, Ohio.

8:18 PM: Just coming in after work and listened to the ABCNews special report on WWTN-FM 99.7 Nashville, and was greeted with some awesome news! That is where I heard the call for our own Volunteer State and Oklahoma for Rick Santorum! Trey Harden, analyst on ABC, said he would be surprised if Rick Santorum does not win Ohio. Romney wins Virginia, Mass. and Vt. Gingrich wins Ga.

BACK AGAIN

I am back again and ready to post on happenings in this crucial Presidential election year. A lot of things have happened in this nation, and in my life, since I last posted after the 2010 midterms. I look forward to posting updates here as often as possible regarding the election year. Hope you'll stay tuned!

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

LACK OF POSTS

I do apologize for a lack of posts last night. Although I intended to post regularly through the evening, I was a part of election night, as I had the great experience of spending it at the victory party of our new congressman-elect, Diane Black. She is the first Republican to represent Tennessee's Sixth District in known history!

I now intend to get some posts coming out today and in the following days as the dust settles on the history made last night. One important post to come here is a recap of the state legislative races. I have been looking at the numbers from the states, and I am stunned the national media isn't giving the fallout on these races more attention. In many states, a once closely partisan body has now broken strongly to the GOP. The fallout of the great gains in the state legislative races and in the governor's mansions holds great implications for the Presidential campaign of 2012 and in redistricting which affects the next decade or more. I will be working on this in the next day or so.

Tuesday, November 2, 2010

INDIANA - U.S. HOUSE

With between 10 to 25 percent of precincts in for the three U.S. House seats in the state of Indiana that have been considered competitive, the GOP is on track to sweep them all. In Kentucky, the GOP is competitive in the two closely watch House races there.

DELAWARE - Coons Camp Suggests Concerns.

Here is a story from the Wall Street Journal's Washington Wire indicating maybe a closer-than-expected race for the U.S. Senate in Delaware. The camp of Chris Coons, the Democratic nominee, is expressing concern about the turnout there, which would likely bode well for his Republican challenger, Christine O'Donnell. I still expect Coons to win, maybe close to double digits, but this is an interesting development. Maybe there is something after all to the President's and Vice President Biden's recent visits to the usual solid Democratic state.

Monday, November 1, 2010

WELCOME TO OUR NEW FORMAT

Readers of this blog will see a new change to the format and the name. The decision was made to focus this blog on the 2010 midterm elections, their impact on the 2012 campaigns, and the importance these elections hold for the direction our nation goes from here. No one who is following these developments doubts the importance these elections hold for our culture, our pocketbooks, our security, our way of life.

Because of this, I am pledging to attempt in my busy life to make an attempt here to report and document on the events in the coming days. I will not be able to post on all the big races, for I am active in this election myself in several ways, but I will make a good effort to post as much as possible.

I encourage you to come back often throughout the next few days as I share what I learn from this day and I share with you the facts I find and my own take on the events as they happen. Have a great Decision Eve and Decision Day!

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Conway Wins Dem Nod In Kentucky, Lincoln in a Runoff, Boozman Avoids One

12 AM ET Wednesday, May 19

In our last update of the night, we will wrap up the races of substance that we didn't yet cover.

Jack Conway was finally projected the winner in tonight's Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat from the Commonwealth of Kentucky. With nearly all precincts in, Conway has 44 percent of the vote to Mongiardo's 43 percent. This is another crushing loss for the Commonwealth's Lt. Governor, as he attempted to go for this seat in 2004 when he challenged outgoing U.S. Senator Jim Bunning.

Of course the two big stories of the night, Rand Paul won in a cakewalk tonight in the GOP primary for this seat, while 30-year veteran U.S. Senator Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania saw his career likely come to an end tonight as he ended in defeat to two-term congressman challenger Joe Sestak.

In Arkansas, another incumbent senator worked to fend off a surging challenge from her state's Lt. Governor. Blanche Lincoln will find herself in a runoff, as she will claim about 45 percent of the vote tonight to Bill Halter's 43 percent. The Republican that either one of them will face in November, Congressman John Boozman, waltzed to a big victory with nearly 53 percent of the vote, thus avoiding the runoff. He can focus on the general election, whil Lincoln and Halter have each other to worry about for three more weeks.

In Oregon, Ron Wyden won the Democrats nomination for another term, while Huffman won the GOP nomination easily. Wyden will be favored to hold that seat in the fall. In the race for governor, John Kitzhaber, the former governor, won the Democrats' nomination in a landslide. Former NBA player Clint Dudley, a wealth strategist, won the GOP nomination by a closer margin, but still comfortable.