ALL TIMES EASTERN
7 PM - Fox News projecting the following:
Georgia (GOP) Trump
Georgia (Dem) Clinton
Virginia (GOP) TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Virginia (Dem) Clinton
Vermont (GOP) TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Vermont (Dem) Sanders
8 PM - Fox News projecting Trump wins the Tennessee, Alabama and Massachusetts primaries. Oklahoma too close to call. Clinton wins the Dem primary in Tennessee.
8:10 - A run-down of some live returns:
Virginia (GOP) 61% reporting - Trump 37%, Rubio 30%, Cruz 17%
Georgia (GOP) 8% reporting - Trump 47%, Rubio 22%, Cruz 21%
Alabama (GOP) less than 1% reporting- Trump 37%, Rubio 20%, Cruz 20%
Oklahoma (GOP) 2% reporting- Trump 36%, Cruz 29%, Rubio 23%
Tennessee (GOP) 4% reporting- Trump 47%, Rubio 21%, Cruz 18%
8:33 - Fox News projecting a narrow win for Trump in Virginia. Seven-point margin there looking likely to narrow.
9:00 - Fox News projecting Ted Cruz to take his home state of Texas. Still close races in Arkansas and Oklahoma. Trump and Rubio neck and neck in Arkansas and Cruz and Trump close in Oklahoma.
9:15 - Fox News projecting Ted Cruz to win Oklahoma. Big win for the Cruz camp tonight.
10:30 - A rundown of select GOP returns at the present:
Virginia - 99% reporting - Trump 35%, Rubio 32%, Cruz 17%
Texas - 16% reporting - Cruz 41%, Trump 28%, Rubio 18%
Georgia - 76% reporting - Trump 40%, Cruz 24%, Rubio 23%
Tennessee - 75% reporting - Trump 41%, Cruz 24%, Rubio 20%
Oklahoma - 96% reporting - Cruz 34%, Trump 29%, Rubio 26%
Arkansas - 33% reporting - Trump 35%, Cruz 29%, Rubio 25%
Vermont - 72% reporting - Trump 32%, Kasich 31%, Rubio 20%
Minnesota - 10% reporting - Rubio 37%, Cruz 27%, Trump 20%
10:40 - Clinton does exceptionally well among Dems tonight, racking up massive margin wins in TX, GA, VA, TN, AL, AR and even a close victory in Sanders backyard in MA. Sanders can only claim wins so far in his homestate of VT and in OK.
11:10 - Fox is calling Minnesota for Rubio. This is his first primary/caucus victory this election season. He is running up large numbers in the state and should come away with the vast majority of its delegates.
Tuesday, March 1, 2016
SUPER TUESDAY SCHEDULE AND DELEGATES
Alabama · 50 delegates
Last poll closes at 7:00 PM CT
Alaska · 28 delegates
Last poll closes at 11:00 PM CT
Arkansas · 40 delegates
Last poll closes at 7:30 PM CT
Georgia · 76 delegates
Last poll closes at 6:00 PM CT
Massachusetts · 42 delegates
Last poll closes at 7:00 PM CT
Minnesota · 38 delegates
Last poll closes at 8:00 PM CT
Oklahoma · 43 delegates
Last poll closes at 7:00 PM CT
Tennessee · 58 delegates
Last poll closes at 7:00 PM CT
Texas · 155 delegates
Last poll closes at 8:00 PM CT
Vermont · 16 delegates
Last poll closes at 6:00 PM CT
Virginia · 49 delegates
Last poll closes at 6:00 PM CT
SUPER TUESDAY! A Few Things I Am Looking For
Happy Super Tuesday! Here are a few of the things I am looking for tonight:
1) How do things go in the bigger delegate prizes. Texas, by far, is the largest with 155 delegates. After that, Georgia (76 delegates), Tennessee (58), Alabama (50) and Virginia (49) are also delegate rich states. Watching to see how things develop in those states and particularly watching the margins.
2) Watching to see what the margins are in all the states. Trump is expected to win just about all of the states, and Cruz expected to take Texas by many. However, the states won are not the full picture. These states are just about all proportional, so how do they break the delegates down. Delegates are the most important factor in attaining the nomination, particularly to attain the nomination before the convention.
3) Watching Georgia and Virginia to look for any clues on what to expect for the fall general election. Virginia is a microcosm of the nation as a whole, probably the most important bellwether on what the nation is thinking. Georgia is developing into a swing state again. If Trump is the nominee, what are his chances in November of claiming those states in the GOP column. From the viewpoints I have been seeing for some time, I think Trump would struggle in those states if he is the nominee.
4) What happens in Virginia, Minnesota, Oklahoma and Arkansas? These four states are considered to be Marco Rubio's best shot at breaking through tonight.
5) Of course, how do the delegates break down? If Trump comes out with only 100 or so more delegates than say Rubio or Ted Cruz, this race will likely drag on a while, maybe even go to convention. If Trump runs the table in many, then this race will start to look more and more certain.
These are among the things I am primarily looking at tonight.
1) How do things go in the bigger delegate prizes. Texas, by far, is the largest with 155 delegates. After that, Georgia (76 delegates), Tennessee (58), Alabama (50) and Virginia (49) are also delegate rich states. Watching to see how things develop in those states and particularly watching the margins.
2) Watching to see what the margins are in all the states. Trump is expected to win just about all of the states, and Cruz expected to take Texas by many. However, the states won are not the full picture. These states are just about all proportional, so how do they break the delegates down. Delegates are the most important factor in attaining the nomination, particularly to attain the nomination before the convention.
3) Watching Georgia and Virginia to look for any clues on what to expect for the fall general election. Virginia is a microcosm of the nation as a whole, probably the most important bellwether on what the nation is thinking. Georgia is developing into a swing state again. If Trump is the nominee, what are his chances in November of claiming those states in the GOP column. From the viewpoints I have been seeing for some time, I think Trump would struggle in those states if he is the nominee.
4) What happens in Virginia, Minnesota, Oklahoma and Arkansas? These four states are considered to be Marco Rubio's best shot at breaking through tonight.
5) Of course, how do the delegates break down? If Trump comes out with only 100 or so more delegates than say Rubio or Ted Cruz, this race will likely drag on a while, maybe even go to convention. If Trump runs the table in many, then this race will start to look more and more certain.
These are among the things I am primarily looking at tonight.
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