Happy Super Tuesday! Here are a few of the things I am looking for tonight:
1) How do things go in the bigger delegate prizes. Texas, by far, is the largest with 155 delegates. After that, Georgia (76 delegates), Tennessee (58), Alabama (50) and Virginia (49) are also delegate rich states. Watching to see how things develop in those states and particularly watching the margins.
2) Watching to see what the margins are in all the states. Trump is expected to win just about all of the states, and Cruz expected to take Texas by many. However, the states won are not the full picture. These states are just about all proportional, so how do they break the delegates down. Delegates are the most important factor in attaining the nomination, particularly to attain the nomination before the convention.
3) Watching Georgia and Virginia to look for any clues on what to expect for the fall general election. Virginia is a microcosm of the nation as a whole, probably the most important bellwether on what the nation is thinking. Georgia is developing into a swing state again. If Trump is the nominee, what are his chances in November of claiming those states in the GOP column. From the viewpoints I have been seeing for some time, I think Trump would struggle in those states if he is the nominee.
4) What happens in Virginia, Minnesota, Oklahoma and Arkansas? These four states are considered to be Marco Rubio's best shot at breaking through tonight.
5) Of course, how do the delegates break down? If Trump comes out with only 100 or so more delegates than say Rubio or Ted Cruz, this race will likely drag on a while, maybe even go to convention. If Trump runs the table in many, then this race will start to look more and more certain.
These are among the things I am primarily looking at tonight.
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